But there are way, way more comments, posts, and articles about how he’s reneged on his promises & will continue to hurt people for the sake of hurting people… In the face of authoritarianism, you’re worried about decorum?
This is the most garbage logic. His approval rating does not directly equate to fulfilling promises. There can be cause and effect, but it’s not guaranteed especially when there’s so many factors that impact approval rating.
Presidents get a post election bump. It has nothing to do with fuffiling policy promises. Hell, the bump began before he took office, so obviously it has little to do with him fulfilling promises. Trump had a bump his first term too. But guess what. Literally every other president, including Biden, had a better overall approval rating at the beginning of a term than trump ever has. Time will tell where his approval lands.
There is never going to be a perfect metric on fulfilling campaign promises. The approval rating is a very good metric for that. Did someone said this is perfect metric?
Trump was acting more like the sitting president than Biden between election and inauguration. Of course that can result in a bump. For example, the Israel Hamas ceasefire. Trump was critical in getting that deal done even though he was not a sitting president at the time.
I didn’t say it wasn’t even and imperfect metric. I’m saying that its almost no metric. Perhaps even evidence of poor performance to be honest. Because the approval bump is a repeatable and measurable phenomenon we observe after every election that has 0 to do with presidential policy or action. And his post election approval bump is the second worst in history, only below his own poor approval bump from his first term.
Information is relative to the environment and circumstances. Is doesn’t exist in a vacuum.
First of all, to say approval rating has zero to do with action, I disagree completely. That is just ridiculous.
Second, Trump starts his second term. I don’t think an election bump in second term is typically that significant if anything. Bush Jr’s second term approval at realclearpoltics was at around +5, and that is in line with what Trump is getting right now. There wasn’t much of a post election bump for Bush Jr.
Sorry, let me hold your hand on what i was saying a little more. Approval rating bumps directly after an election where there’s been no time for major policy to occur (let alone for people to digest that policy and it’s fallout) because there’s been a transfer of power is meaningless when it comes to reflecting policy.
Unlike the previous administration, Trump moved very fast in his first week in office. These are major policies. It is important these policies are aligned with his campaign promises. Based on the current polls, his voters are very satisfied, and the polls are not meaningless at all. This is not the Biden administration which not much was done in the first week.
Again, I never said “polls are meaningless.” I said “poll bumps all presidents have after an election resulting in a transfer of power are meaningless in reference to policy approval.”
But look back at your own link. His approval rating is already slipping back. Less than a month ago he was at +8.2 and now he’s at +5.3. And it will only accelerate as his policy sinks in. Also wild that you think +8.2 approval could mean that anyone is “very satisfied.” But, whatever.
But there are way, way more comments, posts, and articles about how he’s reneged on his promises & will continue to hurt people for the sake of hurting people… In the face of authoritarianism, you’re worried about decorum?
Based on his current approval rating, he is doing what he promised to do, which won him the election.
This is the most garbage logic. His approval rating does not directly equate to fulfilling promises. There can be cause and effect, but it’s not guaranteed especially when there’s so many factors that impact approval rating.
Presidents get a post election bump. It has nothing to do with fuffiling policy promises. Hell, the bump began before he took office, so obviously it has little to do with him fulfilling promises. Trump had a bump his first term too. But guess what. Literally every other president, including Biden, had a better overall approval rating at the beginning of a term than trump ever has. Time will tell where his approval lands.
There is never going to be a perfect metric on fulfilling campaign promises. The approval rating is a very good metric for that. Did someone said this is perfect metric?
Trump was acting more like the sitting president than Biden between election and inauguration. Of course that can result in a bump. For example, the Israel Hamas ceasefire. Trump was critical in getting that deal done even though he was not a sitting president at the time.
Your logic was very bad.
I didn’t say it wasn’t even and imperfect metric. I’m saying that its almost no metric. Perhaps even evidence of poor performance to be honest. Because the approval bump is a repeatable and measurable phenomenon we observe after every election that has 0 to do with presidential policy or action. And his post election approval bump is the second worst in history, only below his own poor approval bump from his first term.
Information is relative to the environment and circumstances. Is doesn’t exist in a vacuum.
First of all, to say approval rating has zero to do with action, I disagree completely. That is just ridiculous.
Second, Trump starts his second term. I don’t think an election bump in second term is typically that significant if anything. Bush Jr’s second term approval at realclearpoltics was at around +5, and that is in line with what Trump is getting right now. There wasn’t much of a post election bump for Bush Jr.
Sorry, let me hold your hand on what i was saying a little more. Approval rating bumps directly after an election where there’s been no time for major policy to occur (let alone for people to digest that policy and it’s fallout) because there’s been a transfer of power is meaningless when it comes to reflecting policy.
Unlike the previous administration, Trump moved very fast in his first week in office. These are major policies. It is important these policies are aligned with his campaign promises. Based on the current polls, his voters are very satisfied, and the polls are not meaningless at all. This is not the Biden administration which not much was done in the first week.
Again, I never said “polls are meaningless.” I said “poll bumps all presidents have after an election resulting in a transfer of power are meaningless in reference to policy approval.”
But look back at your own link. His approval rating is already slipping back. Less than a month ago he was at +8.2 and now he’s at +5.3. And it will only accelerate as his policy sinks in. Also wild that you think +8.2 approval could mean that anyone is “very satisfied.” But, whatever.