Summary

NASA has lowered the estimated risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in December 2032 to 1.5%, down from 3.1% a day earlier. The European Space Agency’s (ESA) estimate stands at 1.38%.

The asteroid, 40-90 meters wide, could cause significant city-level destruction but not a global catastrophe.

The projected impact corridor spans the Pacific, South America, Africa, and South Asia.

NASA also estimates a 0.8% chance of the asteroid hitting the Moon.

  • @scaramobo
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    21 day ago

    There is this fun toy see/calculate the potential effect of any asteroid collision: https://neal.fun/asteroid-launcher/

    If it hits any city, that is wiped out. If it hit anything else, chances are damages are moderate.