Nearly 25,000 tech workers were laid off in the first weeks of 2024. Why is that?::undefined

  • @[email protected]English
    9•11 months ago

    I don’t get how there’s any connection. Sure, it sucks to own commercial real estate, or be one of the service companies that grew up to support office work, but isn’t the whole problem being that tech and other large companies no longer want to pay for that? This should be a bonanza for tech companies, saving billions of dollars that formerly went toward renting office space. Why aren’t we expecting a tech company boom?

    • @[email protected]English
      8•11 months ago

      The anticipation is not that it’ll hurt the tech companies, but the economy as a whole. A generalized economic slowdown impacts everyone, even if you specifically benefited from it.

      If I could tell you exactly how it’ll unfold, I’d be using that to make a lot of money instead. It’s not even certain that it will happen.

      Commercial real estate was for a long time a roughly predictable investment, and profitable.
      Now profitability is severely reduced because people, including tech companies, are cutting their usage.
      If the market collapses, it’s unclear how far down it’ll drag the economy, so companies are bracing for it to be bad.

      • @[email protected]English
        1•11 months ago

        Hopefully they’re wrong. Commercial real estate should have no direct impact on most tech

        • @[email protected]English
          2•11 months ago

          It shouldn’t, but there shouldn’t have been a connection between home mortgages and the auto industry either.
          It’s not just the connectedness of the industry sectors, but their mutual connection to financial markets.

        • @[email protected]English
          2•11 months ago

          It won’t.

          It will have indirect impact. The question is how much.

          If the entire economy is down, people have less disposable income. The big income areas in tech are advertising, goods sales, monthly streaming services, and cloud compute.

          Less disposable income = less people buying things they’re advertised, less people buying shit they don’t need off Amazon, less people keeping their Prime, Netflix, YouTube Premium, Spotify, or Disney+ accounts active, and less cloud compute resources needed to drive e-commerce websites.