• @[email protected]
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    729 months ago

    Their pre order ipo is wanting and planning on like $31 to $34 a share. I’m thinking no.

      • @[email protected]
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        209 months ago

        It’s not quite that bad, the author buries this near the end:

        There’s 97%+ Downside if Growth Matches 2023

        Which if I read that correctly means he thinks a fair valuation of the stock is about 90 cents.

    • @[email protected]
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      9 months ago

      Stocks are basically a percentage of ownership. The share price as a dollar amount is meaningless because it could be 1% of a company or 0.000000001%. The relevant number here is that Reddit is IPOing at a valuation of $5 billion (that stock buys a ¹⁄₁₅₀₀₀₀₀₀₀ interest), which all I can reply with is hahahahahahahaha

    • @[email protected]
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      49 months ago

      $6.5B valuation (assuming a standard 20x EPS model) should imply in the neighborhood of $325M/year in revenue from a company that makes about a third of that.

      Either Reddit plans on tripling its revenues in the near future or this is an unrealistic target.

      • @[email protected]
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        69 months ago

        It’s a sham, imo. I was on reddit for 15 years. It has peaked already. They won’t be able to get more for ads and I don’t believe their data for AI will go higher than what they’ve gotten for it this year. The only way they’ll be worth more is to cut overhead.