FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows Joe Biden has a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.

Polls are crap

It’s a little bit notable how they change over time, but mostly it is just a bunch of poor methodology noise

But, I do feel it’s relevant to point out that even in polling land Biden has been gaining for the last few weeks and it’s notable which media outlets are pretending it is the opposite of that (like severely the opposite) and to wonder why that is

  • themeatbridge
    24•4 months ago

    Polls currently have it closer than it’s been in a while. Biden might not win there, but more competitive battlegrounds means more voters, and more voters is good for democracy.

    • mozzOP
      28•4 months ago

      The anti abortion people figured this out 40 years ago, and they kept pushing for 40 years, and look they got their victory, against impossible odds.

      The fairly normal things the left wants to do would be a lot easier to achieve if we could display the same level of stubbornness.

        • mozzOP
          2•4 months ago

          Biden: A trillion dollars spent on climate change, student loan forgiveness, huge increase in corporate tax to pay for all of that, income inequality is dropping, support for unions, basically the country moving 1% in the right direction for the first time since IDK Carter or something

          Trump: Let’s shoot all the Mexicans

          Lemmy: They’re the same picture

            • mozzOP
              3•4 months ago

              Just like a non stop avalanche of bad faith bullshit from you guys, huh

              I dealt with the immigration issue at a lot more length back in my comments from a while ago; I don’t really want to dig it back up and copy paste it, because what’s the point. But short summary, you’re wrong.