• Alphane Moon
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    673 months ago

    Practically all russians have had access to fully uncensored YT just one click away on their smartphones for over a decade (until today).

    That didn’t really change anything. Russia’s problems lie in the attitude of the overwhelming majority of its people, not in the lack of access to information.

    They make a conscious and fully informed choice to be genocidal imperialists and embrace authoritarianism.

    • merde alors
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      3 months ago

      Russia’s problems lie in the attitude of the overwhelming majority of its people, not in the lack of access to information.

      They make a conscious and fully informed choice to be genocidal imperialists and embrace authoritarianism.

      “they”?

      what happens to dissidents in Putin’s Russia? It’s easy to criticize a repressed population when you’re not risking anything.

      were all U.S. citizens responsible for the invasion of iraq? In U.S. where you don’t disappear for criticising the government and it’s choices, what difference did that freedom of speech make for Iraqis?

      Where in the so called “west” do people keep buying from Putin’s Russia through cloaked trade?

      while we’re on the subject of “genocidal imperialists embracing authoritarianism”, who are the greatest sponsors of one of the longest running apartheid regime? Is “the attitude of the overwhelming majority of its people” the cause of this genocidal apartheid?

      nuances! “Overwhelming majority” is just trying to get by. Most people are not power hungry psychopaths. If Putin, Netanyahu and some more of their ilk died today, world would be a better place tomorrow.

      fuck this! it’s time to go offline and read a decent book.

      • Alphane Moon
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        53 months ago

        What about so called russian “dissidents”? Navalniy and his team openly supported the annexation of Crimea (and destruction of Ukrainian and Crimean Tartar culture).

        The recently exchanged “dissidents” also showed their true colours by supporting the annexation of currently occupied territories in Ukraine.

        We are not discussing US right now! The US did not annex Basra state, steal all the local children, force everyone to speak English and send anyone caught talking Arabic to a torture chamber; all with support of somewhere between 65% to 85% of their population.

        The overwhelming majority of Russians are genocidal imperialists. They support invasions of foreign countries, annexations, attempts at elimatining local language and culture and setting up mass torture camps for anyone opposed to the yoke of russian degeneracy.

        The “trying to get by” pitch is a ruse. Both qualitative and quantitative research (different methodologies, including ones that attempt to account for preference falsification) show this is not true and that on an outcome basis, the overwhelming majority of russians are indeed genocidal imperialists.

        • @[email protected]
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          123 months ago

          Fuck off with your xenophobia-biased opinions.

          If you actually spent any amount of time communicating with people in Russia, you’d realise the overwhelming majority are not genocidal imperialists.

          The overwhelming majority of Russians I’ve spoken to do not support the ongoing war, and would prefer if Ukraine was left alone.

          I’d be interested in seeing where you’re pulling these extrapolated statistics from, including the demographics of the people who were surveyed.

          If 7/10 Texans oppose abortion, does that mean 70% of the country believe the same thing?

          • Alphane Moon
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            3 months ago

            You do understand that anecdotal findings don’t mean anything, right? I’ve lived in russia for a decade; the three russians I still speak to are anti-war. That’s not how any of this works!

            I’ve posted links and reference to various research works previously in this thread. You can start by looking at polling from Levada (lots of age group information), Russian Field and a paper by LSE that uses list experiments (URL in one of my comments in this thread).

            Even qualitative research by russian academics is damning for russian society. They find that even among those who don’t actively support the invasion, a majority still want to see their army win (i.e. annexation Ukrainian territories, steal children, bomb children’s cancer hospitals). This was a recent project done in a small town (15K) in Siberian russia, released just last month.

            A strong majority of russian are most definitely genocidal imperialists (including the 19-29 age group, although it may be more of a regular majority than a “strong majority”). You’re really ignorant (of practically all quantitative and qualitative research as well as of history) and/or you are naive and not willing to ask yourself difficult questions.

            • @[email protected]
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              33 months ago

              I’m willing to accept your claim, I’m just yet to see enough evidence to prove it.

              Put yourself in their shoes for a moment.
              People who criticise Putin over there don’t seem to last very long.
              Maybe the average Russian citizen won’t have to worry about that, but there’s still the implication that having different political beliefs is something that should be shunned.

              Checking the Levada polling methods, it doesn’t sound like those who are polled are always able to answer anonymously.

              Judging by that page, they seem to prioritise door-knocking and in-person interviews.
              Are you going to tell the person interviewing you, without knowing if they work for your corrupt government or not, that you disagree with your government?

              I’m not a statician, but I think this is called social desirability bias. And when there’s a potential risk to your safety, or even the slightest suspicion that your answers could negatively impact you, that bias increases.

              Yes, I’ll admit anecdotal findings are essentially useless when discussing a population, but those statistics aren’t much better.

              • Alphane Moon
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                13 months ago

                Considering the points that you raised, what are your critiques of list experiment methodology (e.g. the one by LSE that I referenced earlier) and their findings that preference falsification is just 10%. I will note that you are the one who brought up personal safety.

                If the vast majority of your country are genocidal imperialists, it really doesn’t matter that a tiny micro-minority are hiding their preferences does it? At the very least you can admit that this logic is consistent, no?

                Since you brought up Levada, they show that something like 84% of the Russian population supported the annexation of Crimea (i.e. at the very least they are committed imperialists). This data point has been consistent since 2014.

                In context of your critique of Levada, how is that list experiment research had a comparable level of support at 80% for the annexation of Crimea?

                The truth of the matter is that your have no evidence (quantitative or qualitative) or even a working theory to justify your view that the vast majority of russian are just poor souls who got stuck with putin.

                This is nothing new for me btw. On the English language internet, you constantly see comically dumb takes about russians being little angels and putin being solely responsible for all evils committed by the russians.

                • @[email protected]
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                  43 months ago

                  Read the conclusion of the study. The list experiment very clearly proved that there’s a lot of preference falsification happening, which was all they were testing for.
                  The survey results are unlikely to be an accurate representation of the public’s support of the war, there are many factors which could raise or lower the true level of support. Getting an accurate percentage wasn’t the purpose of the study.

                  And I don’t think Russians are innocent. Propaganda and local news may have a strong influence, but the genuine levels of support for their government’s actions is still seemingly much higher than it has any right to be.
                  But I don’t think its fair to say the vast majority of Russians are genocidal imperialists without accurate figures to back it up.
                  Those sort of blanket statements lead to racism, hate crimes, etc, against many innocent people.

                  • Alphane Moon
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                    13 months ago

                    And what is their estimate of preference falsification? It’s just ~10%, no?

                    What impact does this level of preference falsification have with respect to the % of russians who support the invasion of Ukraine, annexation of its territories and extermination of Ukrainian identity?

                    We go from ~75% to ~65% with preference falsification w.r.t. support for the above, is that not the case?

                    Do the numbers cited (less preference falsification) in support of the war not fall under the definition of “strong majority”? Is 65% not a strong majority?

                    Don’t the authors clearly state that their methodology (even with weights) likely underestimates the true level of support?

                    Their numbers (for support of the invasion of Ukraine) align with other polling methods; which is damning for the “innocent Russians just got played a bad hand, they are not really genocidal imperialists” narrative.

                    Why did you leave out these numbers? I don’t understand. They clearly reference them. Why would you do this?

                    But you would never accept any methodology or research that doesn’t show what you want to see. Be honest! It’s not about the research or the numbers for you.

                    So why bring up “accurate figures”?

                    White washing the genuine support for genocidal imperialism among a strong majority of russians leads to 100 of thousands of deaths, 10 of thousands people being tortured (UN stated that 95% of Ukrainian POWs were tortured, and that doesn’t include civilians) and millions having their livelihoods ruined.

                    And I am just referencing Ukraine. There are many other examples. The russians killed 5% of the civilian population of Chechnya in the 90s. That would be equivalent to killing 7 million russian civilians.

            • @[email protected]
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              3 months ago

              Do you have a link to the qualitative research in the Siberian town? Would like to read it specifically

        • @[email protected]
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          113 months ago

          The US did not annex Basra state

          Of course not. But the US is actively funding a genocide in palestine and many similar atrocities around the globe. This empire has a long history of colonialism, imperialism, genocide, slavery, racism, war, etc. The overwhelming majority of USAians are also genocidal imperialists. Just listen to NPR. Just look at the presidential candidates.

          I’m not saying the alt-empire is any better. I’m saying that empire is the same everywhere. All of these politicians are extremely privileged hanging out together at the UN, dinner parties, etc. regardless of what brand of state they serve. It’s all the same system and same people. Every state and all empire is trash.

          • Alphane Moon
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            23 months ago

            So when did senior US politicians call for extermination of Gazan identity, banning arabic in Gaza and annexing Gaza as a new state?

            You do understand that the term “genocidal imperialist” has actual meaning, right?

            The overwhelming majority of russian are genocidal imperialist because they support russia full scale invasion and they have always supported the annexation of Crimea.

            We can have a conversation about the bad and good things done by the US, but I don’t see what this has to do with the topic at hand?

        • @[email protected]
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          33 months ago

          Navalniy and his team openly supported the annexation of Crimea (and destruction of Ukrainian and Crimean Tartar culture).

          Not really: https://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/20/opinion/how-to-punish-putin.html ; this is just days after the annexation. I’m no fan of Navalny for various reasons (his nationalist views, xenophobic comments and narratives, etc), but he was very much against all Putin’s shenanigans in Ukraine, and vehemently anti-war.

          The recently exchanged “dissidents” also showed their true colours by supporting the annexation of currently occupied territories in Ukraine.

          What are you on about? Name one of them who supported the war. Most of them were jailed due to their anti-war positions.

          • Alphane Moon
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            3 months ago

            The NYT article is aimed at western audiences, of course they are going to present a more humanistic pitch.

            English language content from the russian “opposition” is often misleading.

            In russian, Navalniy initially clearly stated that “Ukrainians, you should forget about Crimea” and that “Crimea is not a ham sandwich, you can’t just give it back!”

            He later did a PR pass on his position with a call for an “independent referendum”; a typical russian imperialist mindset. The Ukrainian constitution only allows for national referendums on such matters.

            Navalniy own head goon even confirmed that they supported the annexation of Crimea because the vast majority of russian are imperialists:

            https://time.com/6162889/navalny-ukraine-russia-leonid-volkov/

            He was most definitely not anti-war. The russian invasion of Ukraine began with the annexation of Crimea; which was supported by Navaliy and his team.

            One of Yashin’s responsibilities as a deputy in 2018 was conscription. Russia has been at war with Ukraine since 2014.

            Now I understand for Yashin the “real” war started in 2022 and he was just “looking to promote democracy by taking part in municipal politics”.

            But that’s irrelevant if you are from Donbas and your family was forced to leave in 2014. Or if you language and religion are being prosecuted In Crimea.

            Kara-Murza went a tired rant about how we sanctions need to be weakened

            Pivaovarov stated opposition minded Russians shouldn’t donate to the AFU. Imagine dissidents of the Nazi regime (who took part in a prisoner exchange) stated that opposition minded Germans shouldn’t be supporting the war effort against Nazi Germany.

      • @[email protected]
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        23 months ago

        In U.S. where you don’t disappear for criticising the government and it’s choices

        Sometimes you shoot yourself in the head. Twice.

    • @[email protected]
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      273 months ago

      I don’t think a grassroots revolution will be taking place anytime soon, but this is aimed at the young people of Russia who are against the war. The old people there love Putin but I suspect they also aren’t watching YouTube.

      • Alphane Moon
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        3 months ago

        The majority of the young people in Russia are genocidal imperialists. Support for extermination of other countries is of course higher in the older generations, but that doesn’t change the fact that a solid majority of young (e.g. 18 to 29) are genocidal imperialists.

        I understand that it might be reassuring to repeat platitudes like “young people of russia are against the war”, but this is clearly not true.

        Even the framing is suspect. What do you mean by “the war”; the full-scale invasion? In Ukraine, the war started in 2014 with annexation of Crimea and russian invasion of Donbas.

        • @[email protected]
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          133 months ago

          May I know where you found the info that a solid majority of young Russians (well, I think you only talk about those that did not already leave) supports the war?

          • Alphane Moon
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            3 months ago

            A tiny % left and even among them there are many genocidal nationalists and fake opposition types.

            Look up any research on the topic Russian Field, Levada, LSE List Experiment on support from the war among Russians.

            I believe the general trend was that every age category had a majority and that at one point the 30-40 age group had slightly lower support for russian annexation and destruction of Ukrainian identity than the 18 -29 age group.

            • @[email protected]
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              3 months ago

              I don’t know those sources, but I fear those aren’t really representative

              Maybe someone wants to dig, I have no time for that right now…

              • @[email protected]
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                3 months ago

                I look into those regularly. Those are credible sources that are often used by our scientists, but you have to be very careful with statistics during war periods.

                What do you think the majority of people hear when asked, “Do you support actions of Russian military in Ukraine?”. They hear, “Are you a traitor?” and answer accordingly. The majority (4 out of 5, I believe, if not more) refuse to answer at all. So, it’s not exactly representative.

                What we look at instead is questions that are not this direct. Such as “Do you think Russia should continue or start peace talks?”. The majority (58%) is for peace talks. This number has increased since September 2022 by 10%, whilst the number of pro-war people decreased from 44% to 34%. Their quality also changed. For “absolutely should start peace talks” went from 21% (out of all votes) up to 26%, whilst for “absolutely should continue military actions” went from 29% down to 21%.

                The longer things continue, the less support Russia’s government has. That’s what can be said for certain. The other conclusion we can derive is that war isn’t popular.

                Edit: Oh, and the youth, 67% of the youth (18-24) is for peace talks, 23% pro-war. 65% for ages 25-39, only 25% pro-war.

                The vast majority of pro-war people are elderly. Can you guess who also watches the TV the most? And who the TV is controlled by?

                For the full picture, I’ll also add “they started it, so it’s their responsibility, we had no choice in it” This phrase explains the whole mentality of Russians very well.

              • Alphane Moon
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                3 months ago

                I hear that all the time, “but what about the challenges of polling under an autocracy?”, as if they were the first one to think about it.

                But if you show alternative methodologies that account for preference falsification and the estimates for preference falsification turn out to be low, you never hear back from people.

                But this approach is understandable, people in the west have a very primitive understanding of russian culture and russian constantly code switch when pushing polemics for western audiences and when speaking in russian.

                • @[email protected]
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                  3 months ago

                  I can not 🤷🏻‍♀️that is why I asked, would be nice finding reputable sources that leak outta there

                  But "look at any research” does not imply good sources…

    • @[email protected]
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      83 months ago

      Not a Russian political expert, but the fact Putin keeps calling it “denazification” and a “special military operation” leads me to believe there’s a lot of people who don’t support a full blown war.

      • Alphane Moon
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        23 months ago

        Why do you say this?

        If 75% of russians support the “denazification” of Ukraine, that says a lot about them, no?

        • @[email protected]
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          13 months ago

          Because if their government won’t give them the full story it implies they might not like it.

          • Alphane Moon
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            13 months ago

            So you’re saying russians genuinely believe that since 2014 they’ve been “fighting Nazism in Ukraine” and this is not a genocidal imperialist war?

            As I mentioned in my OP, you do know that every russian had uncensored youtube within a single click on their smartphone until the last month or so? Btw, the YT app is available in russian and there is a lot of russian language content.

            This makes no sense!

            • @[email protected]
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              3 months ago

              I’m not saying they believe that, I’m just commenting on what their government is saying.

              I have very little knowledge on what the average Russian citizen thinks.