It only surveyed people who don’t have children. Says on the left ‘Do not have children, n = 1300’. This result says nothing about the general intention to have children as those with children in each age group are excluded. Naturally, as people age, the number who still think they’re going to have children goes down.
The light blue section doesn’t count towards either yes or no, right? Because it’s the “I don’t know” answer.
I was sitting here wondering how they came to 21% at all without only looking at the oldest category, and even then it’s only a fourth that would not get children.
For sure, good call out, I think they just mean only 21% of people feel sure about wanting kids, and if we remove the age bias it goes to 26%. Honestly it would be more interesting to compare the categories to answers from 10, 20 or 30 years ago to have a better benchmark for how we could interperet this.
Correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t basic biology say that it gets more dangerous for people to have kids the older they are? Let alone the virility of men over 40.
It’s a risk to have a child at any age but the risk does raise as you get older scare tactics says it doubles and such after 40 but that doubling is like a 0.5% chance changing to a 1% chance. Adam ruins everything did a piece on this that explains it pretty well.
Correct
Source
Thanks for this, so I redid the math using the two youngest categories (up to 34 years old) and the % goes from 21% to 26% 🤷♂️
It only surveyed people who don’t have children. Says on the left ‘Do not have children, n = 1300’. This result says nothing about the general intention to have children as those with children in each age group are excluded. Naturally, as people age, the number who still think they’re going to have children goes down.
The light blue section doesn’t count towards either yes or no, right? Because it’s the “I don’t know” answer.
I was sitting here wondering how they came to 21% at all without only looking at the oldest category, and even then it’s only a fourth that would not get children.
For sure, good call out, I think they just mean only 21% of people feel sure about wanting kids, and if we remove the age bias it goes to 26%. Honestly it would be more interesting to compare the categories to answers from 10, 20 or 30 years ago to have a better benchmark for how we could interperet this.
Yeah, I got distracted by the headline and didn’t notice the bottom text that says it exactly that way.
I suppose I’m not alone, because I doubt it would’ve been interesting enough to make my feed without the confusion.
Correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t basic biology say that it gets more dangerous for people to have kids the older they are? Let alone the virility of men over 40.
It’s a risk to have a child at any age but the risk does raise as you get older scare tactics says it doubles and such after 40 but that doubling is like a 0.5% chance changing to a 1% chance. Adam ruins everything did a piece on this that explains it pretty well.
Yes, it starts being a risk birth at 35.
But, the answers do specify “have or raise” so adoption is also included.