politics @lemmy.world • 2 months ago

The Blowout No One Sees Coming

app.vantagedatahouse.com

105

The Blowout No One Sees Coming

app.vantagedatahouse.com

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politics @lemmy.world • 2 months ago

Vantage Data House

app.vantagedatahouse.com

Hopium? This blog is suggesting an incredible margin of victory for Harris.

VDH is the website. They are outright calling respected meta-polls FiveThirtyEight and RCP completely wrong. Their overall argument is that the Senate-race is incredibly favored in the Democrat’s favor.

I don’t know if I necessarily believe that argument. But its still interesting to think about. Discuss?

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@scarabine
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2•2 months ago
According to some of the forecasts I’ve seen that suggest a strong chance for a Harris win (as in, 77% chance) she only has a 3% chance to turn FL blue. So, not really plausible, but there are a few scenarios that see her winning it.

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