The aircraft flew up to speeds of 1,200mph. DARPA did not reveal which aircraft won the dogfight.

  • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    AI will win if not now, then soon. The reason is that even if it is worse than a human, the AI can pull off maneuvers that would black out a human.

    Jets are far more powerful than humans are capable of controlling. Flight suits and training can only do so much to keep the pilot from blacking out.

    • circuscritic@lemmy.ca
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      11 months ago

      Maneuverability is much less of a factor now as BVR engagements and stealth have taken over.

      But, yeah, in general a pilot that isn’t subject to physical constraints can absolutely out maneuver a human by a wide margin.

      The future generation will resemble a Protoss Carrier sans the blimp appearance. Human controllers in 5th and 6th gen airframes who direct multiple AI wingman, or AI swarms.

    • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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      11 months ago

      Plus the ai has no risk, outside of basic operation.

      Humans have an inherent survival instinct to which drones can just say “lol send the next one I’m dying cya”

      • intensely_human@lemm.ee
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        11 months ago

        To fight optimally, AI needs to have a survival instinct too.

        Evolution didn’t settle on “protect my life at all costs” as our default instinct, simply by chance. It did so because it’s the best strategy in a hostile environment.

        • maynarkh@feddit.nl
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          11 months ago

          It’s the best strategy because it takes decades to make a fully functional human, and you need humans to make more humans, plus there is the issue of genetically sustainable population sizes, etc. A fully functional aeroplane can be made much quicker, in a factory that can spit out several of them in a day. They are more expendable.

        • Turun@feddit.de
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          11 months ago

          Only if the goal is reproduction. You need to survive to reproduce.

          If the goal is maximum damage for the least amount of economic cost then a suicide (anthropomorphizing the drone here) can very much make sense.

          No one would argue that a sword is better than guns or bombs, because you still have the sword after attacking.

      • Aatube@kbin.melroy.orgOP
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        11 months ago

        Jets are a lot more expensive. What’s at risk is all these resources for the jet going down the drain.

        • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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          11 months ago

          Huh? Jets are far more replaceable than a human operator who takes years of training and has “needs”.

          Ya know unless your military is running on cold war fumes or something and you can’t afford to build an airframe you already have in production

          • diffusive@lemmy.world
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            11 months ago

            Training a combat pilot used to cost (in early 2000, not sure now) 10M€ for a NATO member.

            Find me a modern jet that costs so little. Regardless of what politicians say, human life has a price… and it is waaaay below a jet (even including the training)

            • grue@lemmy.world
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              11 months ago

              Yeah, but procurement of a combat pilot has about a two-decade lead time. You can build more jets a lot quicker (potentially even including the R&D phase).

              • intensely_human@lemm.ee
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                11 months ago

                Also as this war expands to become planet-wide, industrial output of drones will expand many orders of magnitude.

            • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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              11 months ago

              It’s not just money. It’s time, public perception, quantity trainers, quantity student seats etc

              A drone is ready the moment it comes off the assembly line, is flashed with software, and tested.

        • everyone_said@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          I’d imagine they’d evetually design a jet purpose built for an AI that would be a lot cheaper than a human-oriented one. Removing the need for a cockpit with seats, displays, controls, oxygen, etc would surely reduce cost. It would also open the door for innovations in air-frame design previously impossible.

        • Bgugi@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          Jets are in many ways expensive because they can’t be expendible. They also make an bunch of compromises to accommodate keeping a human alive.

          For the cost of a single f22, you could put up 60 Valkyries. I think I know which side I would bet on.

    • BrightCandle@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      Not so much f16s but the more modern planes can do 16G where the pilot can’t really do more than 9G. But once unshackled from a pilot a lot of instrument weight and pilot survival can be stripped from a plane design and the airframe built to withstand much more, with titanium airframes I see no reason we can’t make planes do sustained unstable turns in excess of 20G.

    • Buelldozer@lemmy.today
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      11 months ago

      AI will win if not now, then soon.

      This article didn’t mention it but the AI pilot did win at least one of the engagements during this testing run.

    • Gigan@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      Jets are far more powerful than humans are capable of controlling. Flight suits and training can only do so much to keep the pilot from blacking out.

      Can they be piloted remotely? Or would that be too dangerous with latency

      • psud@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        Yes they can. Before AI the US was expecting to move to remote piloted jets

          • psud@lemmy.world
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            11 months ago

            That’s not the case yet for fighters, just things like predator drones and global hawk

            So really just surveillance and delivery of a couple of light air to surface missiles, most reported on for assassinations

      • intensely_human@lemm.ee
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        11 months ago

        Latency, signal interference, and limited human intelligence are all limiting factors in that strategy.

        If the enemy interferes with any of those, the enemy wins.

        This was is already being fought with autonomous drones. By the end of it, the robots will be unrecognizable to us now.

        • grue@lemmy.world
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          11 months ago

          What’s the difference? A remotely or AI-piloted fighter jet is just a big drone.

          • Aatube@kbin.melroy.orgOP
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            11 months ago

            Drones are designed without cockpits. Retrofitting remote-control into an F-16 does not seem like the best choice to me.

            • azuth@sh.itjust.works
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              11 months ago

              Retrofitting F-16s to become drones (whether rc or ai-controlled) as well as designing a variant ditching human support for weight and monetary gains is the rational choice as long as non stealth aircraft are viable. In that case you’d stick to F-35s.

              It makes no sense to waste billions worth of perfectly capable and proven airframes, engines and avionics. Any future drone that will have at least the same level of capabilities as an f-16 will cost practically cost the same. At the cost of high performance aircraft life support does not add that much cost to a plane, pilot costs (and availability) are a much bigger issue.