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Central planes as well, there is an enormous amount of crop land that will no longer support farming.
It’s not like it’s getting zero rainfall, it’s just not getting enough to support its current levels of crop output; they were growing cereal crops in the Great Plains long before we figured out industrial-scale groundwater irrigation.
No, the western plains requires irrigation. Plains as a biome exist because rainfall is marginal.
https://waterforfood.nebraska.edu/-/media/projects/dwfi/resource-documents/reports-and-working-papers/past-present-and-future-of-irrigation-on-the-us-great-plains.pdf