• Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      Likely voters are those that have voted before, that’s what makes them likely to vote again. For the most part they’re the more accurate people to be polling.

        • Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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          9 months ago

          Because new voters are a rounding error smaller than the error bars of the sample size.

          Polling is pretty much like the unemployment rate. Any individual reading is meaningless, it’s a multitude of readings over time that give any useful information.