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What are the odds and what bet are you willing to accept?
That Dems will make abortion a focus for the 2024 cycle? At least 90% imo. I’m too poor to bet, but you can publicly shame me if I’m wrong.
Unless something like WW3 eclipses it between now and then, it would be ludicrous to leave abortion on the table, especially after recent performance with respect to that issue in various states.