Summary

Germany warns that Russia is rearming faster than expected, replacing war losses and stockpiling tanks, missiles, and drones.

Putin has redirected Russia’s economy to fuel its military, aided by supplies from Iran and North Korea.

While there’s no clear evidence of plans to attack NATO, Russia is creating the conditions for it.

On the Ukraine front, Russian forces are advancing in south Donetsk, nearing strategic town Pokrovsk, a key supply hub and coal mining center.

Analysts suggest Putin aims to seize land before potential peace talks.

  • @[email protected]
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    9 hours ago

    Yes.

    I’m not sure if people know the history of trilateral defense agreements.

    Iirc it was the French and English who put their war on hold to fight the Spanish specifically because of a weird defense pact.

    • @RedditRefugee69
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      38 hours ago

      Do you mind if I borrow your crystal ball? You seem unusually certain of things most leading experts would call “very likely.”

      • @[email protected]
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        7 hours ago

        It would be weird if experts called it very unlikely, very likely is itself a claim of near certainty.

        • @RedditRefugee69
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          36 hours ago

          Good to see you back down from your assertion of certainty.

              • @[email protected]
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                45 hours ago

                Those are words, yes. They do mean what they say, I’m not sure exactly how that’s confusing to you.

                • @RedditRefugee69
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                  12 hours ago

                  There’s no common ground between someone who thinks “likely” is a synonym for “certain” and someone who doesn’t. The latter isn’t confused.

                  • @[email protected]
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                    12 hours ago

                    Does it just say likely? No. It says very likely, like It’s very likely you haven’t actually looked up the word likely in a thesaurus or for that matter a dictionary.

                    having a high probability of occurring or being true : very probable

                    Add a very and that’s very very probable.

                    Now onto “sure”

                    marked by or given to feelings of confident certainty