Hmm, the real question is whether this is consistent year over year… beating the S&P500 one year doesn’t really indicate anything.
Also there are 535 people in the US congress but only like 30 on these two lists… and not the same 30 both years. How many lost money in those same years?
Assuming you meant “historical”, then these two years of data imply that ~5% of congress members beat the S&P500 per year, and not the same people every year… which seems statistically insignificant.
Thanks! This completly debunks the insider trade myth. You would expect a Gaussian distribution around the mean, which would be a market neutral index. And you get even a slightly to the left shifted Gaussian bell curve.
Hmm, the real question is whether this is consistent year over year… beating the S&P500 one year doesn’t really indicate anything.
Also there are 535 people in the US congress but only like 30 on these two lists… and not the same 30 both years. How many lost money in those same years?
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Assuming you meant “historical”, then these two years of data imply that ~5% of congress members beat the S&P500 per year, and not the same people every year… which seems statistically insignificant.
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Thanks! This completly debunks the insider trade myth. You would expect a Gaussian distribution around the mean, which would be a market neutral index. And you get even a slightly to the left shifted Gaussian bell curve.
Ah, well there you go then… 25ish people out of 535?
Again, it’d be worrying if the same people were consistently ahead of the market… but that would also be super obvious.
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