The odds of Donald Trump securing victory over Joe Biden in November have lengthened from 2/5 on Thursday to 8/15 on Friday, according to William Hill.

I have no idea about William Hill. But the odds they describe sound about right to me, and the Nate Silver thing and the summary of Trump’s speech sound informative

inb4 BIDEN COPIUM HAHAHA etc and etc

  • @[email protected]English
    6•4 months ago

    The polls are literally telling you that it’s neck and neck right now. If this isn’t clear to you, the problem isn’t the polls.

    • @[email protected]
      2•4 months ago

      I don’t cast my vote based on polls polls and no one should. They’re full of shit. Everyone needs to vote like they don’t exist.

      • @[email protected]English
        6•4 months ago

        They’re full of shit.

        While I agree that people should vote like they don’t exist, the reality is that they do a good job of giving you an idea of where voters stand. They were historically accurate in 2022.

        If you think “they’re full of shit” it’s almost certainly a problem of understanding rather than with the polls themselves. Considering you haven’t really made an argument as to why, I can’t know for sure.