Summary
The Republican Party is poised to hold a historically narrow House majority, with current projections showing 220 GOP seats to Democrats’ 215.
This would be the smallest majority since the Hoover administration.
Resignations by three Republican representatives, including Matt Gaetz, could further shrink the margin to 217–215, allowing a single defector to block legislation.
The tight results undermine Republican claims of a 2024 electoral landslide, as Donald Trump’s popular-vote margin over Kamala Harris has narrowed significantly since election night.
But we’re in the bad timeline, so a congressional logjam means that he takes lots of executive actions, the bought SCOTUS lets him and Congress can’t pass anything to stop him.
Yeah, I’ve been disappointed enough this past decade. I’ll call it the Trump Rule: Things will always be worse than you imagine.