Yeah, I’m skeptical about those numbers. They’re from February 9, and that’s about when Trump’s 51st-state bullshit first started making headlines. Nobody would have known what Smith’s reaction would be yet.

Since we’re in the doldrums between elections I don’t imagine a whole lot of polling is being done right now, so no idea when that will update. But even with the numbers as they are, it’s really not bad - NDP got 44% last election so 41% is still in the same ballpark, and the NDP has a new leader that obviously hasn’t done any campaigning. He’s a former mayor of Calgary and Calgary’s the battleground that the election hinged on last time around.